A site that allows betting on future events gives their prediction of bird flu in the US. “On Nov. 1, Intrade, a Web site that allows people to bet on the likelihood of future events, issued a press release titled ‘Trading on Bird Flu — 65% probability of U.S. case by March 2006!’ The release announced that the trading activity on the exchange’s bird flu contracts — offering savvy ‘investors’ a chance to gamble on when the first strain of the deadly H5N1 will be confirmed in the United States — had doubled in the last month”

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